By the 2020s, affordable machines will match the intellectual capabilities of the human brain. Hans Moravec’s paper predicts the relentless improvement in computer hardware will eventually make this possible. He estimates the processing power and memory required for AI to emulate human intelligence and projects that advancements in technology will enable this within a few decades. This progress is likened to a flood of computational power that will surpass human abilities in various fields, necessitating humans to adapt to an increasingly automated world.
Published in the Journal of Evolution and Technology, Volume 1.